Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.169385 0.181793 0.194715 0.209191 0.224974 0.241680 0.260728
2025-04-27 0.151093 0.169713 0.190185 0.214442 0.242496 0.274039 0.312353
2025-05-04 0.137144 0.158688 0.183235 0.213430 0.249778 0.292383 0.346484
2025-05-11 0.126191 0.149483 0.176786 0.211395 0.254436 0.306644 0.375442
2025-05-18 0.116939 0.141273 0.170487 0.208477 0.257057 0.317759 0.400389
2025-05-25 0.113209 0.139340 0.171431 0.214197 0.270382 0.342649 0.444226
2025-06-01 0.106341 0.132916 0.166173 0.211409 0.272203 0.352345 0.468128
2025-06-08 0.100611 0.127533 0.161812 0.209326 0.274544 0.362516 0.492950
2025-06-15 0.094147 0.120798 0.155244 0.203781 0.271647 0.365071 0.506821
2025-06-22 0.089627 0.116371 0.151447 0.201680 0.273217 0.373707 0.529754
2025-06-29 0.087080 0.114435 0.150849 0.203871 0.280816 0.391194 0.566788
2025-07-06 0.083042 0.110250 0.146931 0.201104 0.281006 0.397723 0.587359
2025-07-13 0.079751 0.107031 0.144307 0.200197 0.284075 0.409016 0.616708
2025-07-20 0.078600 0.106760 0.145819 0.205382 0.296536 0.435352 0.672212
2025-07-27 0.075664 0.103798 0.143307 0.204412 0.299469 0.446956 0.704255
2025-08-03 0.072664 0.100602 0.140290 0.202480 0.300719 0.455842 0.732208
2025-08-10 0.069638 0.097234 0.136857 0.199708 0.300423 0.462098 0.755922
2025-08-17 0.069054 0.097423 0.138691 0.205141 0.313523 0.491108 0.821972
2025-08-24 0.066374 0.094374 0.135507 0.202492 0.313226 0.497524 0.847523
2025-08-31 0.064031 0.091739 0.132835 0.200514 0.313888 0.505536 0.876513
2025-09-07 0.061012 0.087966 0.128264 0.195247 0.308704 0.503003 0.885218
2025-09-14 0.058953 0.085591 0.125772 0.193251 0.308969 0.510052 0.912850
2025-09-21 0.057961 0.084826 0.125763 0.195332 0.316354 0.530250 0.967904